Monday, January 8, 2007...10:49 pm
Who was that masked man, and what’s he doing kicking field goals?!
I’m told a thin film of food product is healthy for the more delicate reaches of the face: cucumbers on the eyes, maybe a mask of yogurt if you’re a hippie (or yoghurt if you’re one of those hippies that likes emphasizing the heuristic wonders of pretentious spelling), etc.
I’m not sure if flecks of shell help, though. Egg all over my face.
It’s not often that a prediction is exposed as a farce on the very first play of the game, but Ted Ginn, Jr. upped the data sample by one tonight: a fluid 93 yard kickoff returned for a touchdown. The starting kickoff. I said he’d have 0 yards on such returns, banking on touchbacks or even a deliberate kick out-of-bounds here and there. Whoops.
Similar mistakes made with Heisman winner Troy Smith, the oft-criticized Chris Leak, the overall impact of special teams… pretty much everything. I can’t even hang my hat on Florida kicker John Hetland shanking his way to 1 of 3. Instead? He was nails, booting that faux leather through the uprights like someone who previously wasn’t a complete and utter fuck up in doing such things. And Hetland was that before tonight (4 for 13 prior to his molestation of the pigskin in Glendale).
I can take solace in the fact that it seemed like the majority of experts, pundits, etc. picked Ohio State. And no one - no one - predicted that Troy Smith would have such a horrible game. (Was it horrible? It was emphatically horrible, but more so for a guy from whom anything less than a good to transcendent performance would be shocking, from the guy who absolutely shredded Texas and Michigan, from the Heisman Trophy winne- Okay, maybe that last one isn’t surprising but the rest was.) And many people noted that if Florida was to win one of the deciding factors would be if Chris Leak triumphed over Evil Chris Leak and finally delivered that performance we all expected when he signed with Florida in 2003… but you’d be hard pressed to find that many people also willing to bet he would do such a thing. 55-60% completion, maybe. 200 yards certainly. A high probability of a positive touchdown to interception ratio, sure. But to completely outclass the Heisman winner in the title game? I think a lot of people outside of Gainesville are surprised. Hell, I think maybe more people in Gainesville are surprised.
Oh, and that defense. They’re decent.
In retrospect I should’ve just gone against my instincts, my cursed instincts. Those instincts told me that it would take a fourth quarter triumph to beat Oklahoma in the Orange Bowl, that USC would breeze past Texas by three scores, that Michigan was a better than fifty percent chance to win.

Stupid instincts! You go squish now!
And just to show how wrong I was, a look back at some of my more inaccurate pieces this past season:
“You have 72 hours to give me the Genesis Device,” says Tressel to U.N., NCAA
Meyer demands rock-paper-scissors showdown in lieu of BCS title game
Urban Meyer introduces new “leave before Chris Leak gets on the bus” offense
Congrats, Florida.















5 Comments
Tuesday, January 9, 2007 at 1:23 am
In your case, you should’ve gone against your instincts and I should’ve gone with mine.
Maybe I’m just paranoid but I’d emailed a friend a couple of weeks back saying that Florida made me uneasy because of the way they’d beaten teams and the way their season had gone. He asked me not to worry but there was that feeling at the back of my mind. Then I read something about Heisman winners a couple of days ago and I worried again.
Another friend had remarked some time back that this matchup was almost like Miami OSU of a few years ago. Everyone was talking about Miami and OSU was the underdog–look what happened.
You’re right though–Troy Smith is the LAST player I would’ve picked to have a bad game in such a HUGE tie. It’s one of those things in sport I guess–you do have a bad game from time to time.
Congrats though to the Florida team and their coach–they believed and executed, and they won.
Tuesday, January 9, 2007 at 2:20 am
Does this mean I have to respect the SEC now? That’s a grand total of 0-5 for the season on college sports betting, I am ON IT!
Tuesday, January 9, 2007 at 10:09 am
In Troy Smith’s defense, its not as though everybody else did their job flawlessly and he just crapped the bed. On some plays it looked like the Buckeyes O-line got confused and started pushing the Gator D-linemen towards Smith, instead of away from him. At least thats the only way I can explain how fast they got to him.
Tuesday, January 9, 2007 at 11:18 am
Ohio State Alex Boone was the master of the “look out!” block yesterday, an absolutely text book display of an old idea. Bravo, Alex.
Tuesday, January 9, 2007 at 11:45 am
I don’t know about you, but I’ve come to look forward to my inaccuracies and false-extrapolations being exposed. It proves people are paying attention. And that they are pedantic killjoys.
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